Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.089446 3.596143 4.172578 4.879552 5.726869 6.714194 7.958230
2025-02-09 2.403054 3.073440 3.923456 5.092384 6.676921 8.777194 11.817262
2025-02-16 2.007874 2.729309 3.711354 5.169630 7.321054 10.444309 15.445380
2025-02-23 1.750684 2.497907 3.574718 5.277281 7.972530 12.199537 19.589225
2025-03-02 1.521645 2.258530 3.371279 5.225023 8.339746 13.560114 23.417711
2025-03-09 1.373044 2.111702 3.275415 5.309275 8.921373 15.367343 28.476699
2025-03-16 1.226715 1.944823 3.118118 5.255983 9.242506 16.766204 33.133753
2025-03-23 1.110573 1.810038 2.991595 5.229053 9.595797 18.285464 38.455581
2025-03-30 1.000507 1.670778 2.836858 5.122177 9.769232 19.474319 43.394838
2025-04-06 0.933977 1.598543 2.789851 5.208360 10.339914 21.613305 51.231953
2025-04-13 0.848563 1.482270 2.646919 5.082231 10.438819 22.727504 56.854964
2025-04-20 0.815637 1.458458 2.674244 5.305209 11.341350 25.917915 69.190455
2025-04-27 0.765699 1.406316 2.658606 5.478721 12.277110 29.727249 85.887109
2025-05-04 0.722899 1.364922 2.663720 5.713360 13.461473 34.699908 109.397361
2025-05-11 0.672503 1.300774 2.610546 5.801914 14.300854 39.031673 133.486146
2025-05-18 0.630824 1.248757 2.574903 5.924750 15.268790 44.129523 164.012045
2025-05-25 0.580796 1.172501 2.474087 5.865105 15.711331 47.757079 191.253892
2025-06-01 0.546853 1.126880 2.436302 5.961274 16.645357 53.445996 232.483740
2025-06-08 0.506861 1.062911 2.346384 5.900440 17.082765 57.572424 269.790357
2025-06-15 0.472847 1.008584 2.272226 5.869705 17.615243 62.326418 315.169071
2025-06-22 0.437485 0.947183 2.172535 5.747752 17.812867 65.864171 357.252711
2025-06-29 0.416504 0.917467 2.148784 5.846089 18.819127 73.348627 433.311270
2025-07-06 0.386156 0.861896 2.051193 5.702183 18.906174 76.805455 485.839817